China on path to become world's No. 2 wealthiest country

Tweet

BEIJING, Oct. 20 (Xinhuanet) -- China is expected to replace Japan as the world's second-wealthiest country after the United States with total fortune shooting to nearly US$40 trillion by 2016, Credit Suisse AG said in a report yesterday.

However, the accumulation of fortune will be achieved along with an expanding wealth gap in China where the Gini coefficient, a commonly used measure of inequality of wealth, has already passed an extremely dangerous level.

China, which has surpassed Japan as the world's second-biggest economy, will soon also catch up with the neighbor in terms of total wealth.

Overall wealth at the hands of Chinese mainland people is projected to reach US$39 trillion in the next five years, the firm said in its annual Global Wealth Report.

China now has a total wealth of US$20 trillion, third in the world behind only the US and Japan but ahead of France, according to the report, which analyzes the wealth distribution in more than 200 countries.

Total fortune in China increased by US$4 trillion from January 2010 to June this year and is the second-highest contributor of global wealth growth after the US, the report said.

Wealth per adult in China has more than tripled from US$6,000 in 2000 to US$21,000 this year, according to the report.

The report downplayed overall wealth inequality in China, saying it remains moderate with 37 percent of the adult population lying in the middle segment of the wealth pyramid with a fortune of US$10,000 to US$100,000 per adult, while 5.8 percent of the adult population falls below US$1,000 and 2.3 percent above US$100,000 each.

China had a population of nearly 1.34 billion by late last year, according to the country's latest census, with about 70 percent of the population aged between 15 and 59.



With the increasing wealth of successful entrepreneurs, professionals and investors, inequality has been rising strongly, the report cautioned. So far this year, China has gained more than a million millionaires for the first time and now has more than 5,000 ultra-high net worth individuals with average fortunes above US$50 million, behind only the US, the report said.

The Gini coefficient in China reached 0.5 last year after hitting the recognized warning level of 0.4 more than 10 years ago, according to a report by Xinhua news agency in May last year. Developed European nations and Canada tend to have Gini indices between 0.24 and 0.36.

A low Gini coefficient indicates a more equal distribution, with 0 corresponding to complete equality, while higher Gini coefficients indicate more unequal distribution, with 1 corresponding to complete inequality.

China is nowhere to be found in the list of top 10 countries with the highest average wealth per adult. Using that scale, Switzerland, Australia and Norway are the three richest nations in the world, with Switzerland recording average wealth per adult at US$540,010 - the only country to exceed half a million dollars.

China currently possesses total wealth of US$20 trillion, ranked third in the world behind the US and Japan and ahead of France.

The reported also mentioned that the Asia-Pacific region has emerged as the key contributor to the growth of global wealth, accounting for 36% of global wealth generation since 2000 and 54% since 2010.

Total household wealth in the region increased 23% from January 2010 to June 2011, contrasting with the 9.2% and 4.8% growth in North America and Europe over the same period respectively.

America’s Vanishing Middle Class

Tweet

E.D. Kain, Contributor




Any analysis of wages earned in prior decades and wages earned today needs to take into account the fact that a lot of non-white-males have entered the workforce. Still, these are troubling numbers from John Cassidy of The New Yorker:

Median earnings for full-time, year-round male workers: 2010—$47,715; 1972—$47,550. That not a typo. In thirty-eight years, the annual earnings of the typical male worker, adjusted to 2010 dollars, have risen by $165, or $3.17 a week.

If you do the comparison with 1973 it is even worse. The figure for median earnings of full-time male workers in that year (when O. J. rushed two thousand yards and Tony Orlando had a chart-topper with “Tie a Yellow Ribbon Round the Old Oak Tree”) was $49,065. Between now and then, Archie Bunker and Willie Loman have suffered a pay cut of more than twenty-five dollars a week.

Now check out this chart from Mother Jones:


The gap is only growing wider, and the structural issues at the heart of the gap are becoming more entrenched in this current recession. The problem isn’t with income inequality per se. There will always be income inequality, and that’s not necessarily a bad thing so long as the people at the bottom aren’t living in poverty. The problem is that you reach a certain point where income inequality becomes a destabilizing force both economically and politically.




And while a number of consumer goods have gotten cheaper over the years – like personal computers and all the stuff you can waste time with online – important and essential items like healthcare have gotten much, much more expensive:



Now we can quibble about why costs have risen so much, and really there’s a number of reasons. If you want an in-depth look at those reasons, you should read Aaron Carroll’s series on health costs. One way or another we’re talking about a major expense for middle and working class people, and that’s on top of growing education and housing costs. The big essentials are breaking the bank for many Americans, even if we can afford refrigerators and flat screen televisions.

Does this mean we need more regulation or less? Does it mean we need higher taxes and more redistribution? I would propose a grand bargain along these lines:

• Let’s deregulate the economy as much as possible, eliminating barriers to entry from as many fields as possible, and allowing the DIY economy to flourish. This includes a bunch of supply side stuff in the health sector.
• Let’s do away with the corporate income tax altogether to encourage domestic investment, especially since this tax is just passed along to consumers.
• Let’s reform the progressive tax code to be way more progressive – especially on the top tiers. The top earners in this country can afford to spread the wealth around.
• Let’s get rid of Medicare, Medicaid, and the ACA and replace them with straight-up single payer health insurance for everyone. Simplify and save money in the process. Take the burden off of employers.
• Let’s let markets do their thing and public options do theirs. We don’t need Romney’s “unemployment accounts” – unemployment insurance works just fine. I’d be more sanguine about private savings accounts if markets weren’t so prone to crashing, but as it stands Social Security just needs some tinkering to be perfectly sustainable.
• We should invest more in our public institutions, from schools to universities to public libraries. We should also invest a lot in our public infrastructure, and we should use higher fossil fuel taxes to make those investments.

That’s a broad sketch – and I do mean sketch – of my basic blueprint for market-social-democracy (or something like it). Less government in how we actually interact with people, whether that’s running a business out of our home or smoking marijuana, coupled with a more focused public sector geared toward providing basic services (transit, healthcare, education, etc.).

Oh, and quit spending nearly a trillion dollars a year on war. Keep those dollars here in America and put them to better use. We can defend our country just fine without getting our nose in everybody else’s business.

Newscribe : get free news in real time