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Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economy. Show all posts

Monday, 1 September 2025

Global power converge in Tianjin: SCO summit

 China hosts a star-studded summit to showcase its glowing influence


In this photo provided by Indian Prime Minister's Office, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, left, and Chinese President Xi Jinping, right, hold a meeting on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Tianjin, China Sunday, Aug. 31, 2025. (Indian Prime Minister's Office via  AFP  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfDuPX3p9Y0

President Xi Jinping gathered the leaders of Russia and India among dignitaries from around 20 Eurasian countries for a showpiece summit aimed at putting China front and centre of regional relations.

Security was tight in the northern port city of Tianjin, where the Shanghai Cooperation Organi­sation (SCO) summit is being held until today, days before a massive military parade in the capital Beijing to mark 80 years since the end of World War II.

The SCO comprises China, India, Russia, Pakistan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Belarus – with 16 more countries affiliated as observers or “dialogue partners”.

Russian President Vladimir Putin touched down in Tianjin yesterday with an entourage of senior politicians and business representatives. 

Meanwhile, Xi held a flurry of bilateral meetings with leaders from the Maldives, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan and one of Putin’s staunch allies, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko.

He also met India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Xinhua news agency reported.

China and Russia have sometimes touted the SCO as an alternative to the Nato military alliance. This year’s summit is the first since US President Donald Trump returned to the White House.

In an interview published by Xinhua on Saturday, Putin said the summit will “strengthen the SCO’s capacity to respond to contemporary challenges and threats, and consolidate solidarity across the shared Eurasian space”.

“All this will help shape a fairer multipolar world order,” Putin said.

As China’s claim over Taiwan and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have seen them clash with the United States and Europe, experts say that Beijing and Moscow are eager to use platforms such as the SCO to curry favour.

“China has long sought to present the SCO as a non-Western-led power bloc that promotes a new type of international relations, which, it claims, is more democratic,” said Dylan Loh, an assistant professor at Singapore’s Nanyang Technological University.

More than 20 leaders including Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan are attending the bloc’s largest meeting since its founding in 2001.

“The large-scale participation indicates China’s growing influence and the SCO’s appeal as a platform for non-Western countries,” Loh added.

Beijing, through the SCO, will try to “project influence and signal that Eurasia has its own institutions and rules of the game”, said Lizzi Lee from the Asia Society Policy Institute.

“It is framed as something different, built around sovereignty, non-interference, and multipolarity, which the Chinese tout as a model,” Lee said.

Putin needs “all the benefits of SCO as a player on the world stage”, said Lim Tai Wei, a professor and East Asia expert at Japan’s Soka University. — AFP

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SCO Tianjin Summit showcases the charm of genuine multilateralism: Global Times editorial

The SCO has not only inherited and advanced the multilateral framework represented by the UN but has also innovated and reshaped its concepts and pathways under new circumstances. The SCO has become both a staunch defender and a benchmark practitioner of multilateralism at a time when this principle of international engagement is under severe erosion worldwide.


14 hours ago — The aircraft carrying the Prime Minister and his wife Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail landed at the Tianjin Binhai International Airport.


Top stories


 professor and East Asia expert at Japan’s Soka University. — AFP

Thursday, 14 August 2025

China achieves key digital breakthroughs in 14th Five-Year Plan, ranks global second in computing power: official

 


AI Photo: VCG

AI Photo: VCG

China has made remarkable strides in digital infrastructure and technological innovation during the 14th Five-Year Plan period (2021-25) with its total computing power ranking second worldwide and technology breakthroughs in key digital sectors, Liu Liehong, head of the National Data Administration (NDA), told a press conference on Thursday.

In terms of digital infrastructure, by the end of June, the country had 4.55 million 5G base stations and 226 million gigabit broadband users, with its total computing power ranking second worldwide. These advancements have strongly driven economic and social development, Liu said.

Technological breakthroughs also shine in key digital sectors. The integrated circuit industry has formed a complete industrial chain covering design, manufacturing, packaging, testing, equipment and materials. Domestic operating systems are thriving, with China's self-developed HarmonyOS powering over 1.19 billion devices across over 1,200 product categories like smartphones, cars and home appliances. China's overall AI strength has seen systemic growth, holding 60 percent of global AI patents, according to the NDA.

The data industry has emerged as a new growth driver. In 2024, the number of data enterprises in China exceeded 400,000, and the scale of the data industry reached 5.86 trillion yuan ($817.24 billion), an increase of 117 percent compared with the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan period (2016-20). Digital economy growth has also created over 100 new occupations, generating fresh employment opportunities, according to the NDA.

By the end of 2024, China's software revenue had grown by 80 percent compared with 2020, while the added value of above-scale electronic information manufacturing had increased by over 70 percent. Meanwhile, intelligent transformation and digital upgrading are advancing at an accelerated pace. More than 10,000 smart factories have been established, covering over 80 percent of major manufacturing industry categories. Smart home appliances and smart wearables have emerged as new consumption trends. -  Global Times

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US national debt hits record $37 trillion amid mounting fiscal concerns


Photo taken on March 17, 2020 shows U.S. dollar banknotes in Washington, DC, the United States. Photo:XinhuaThe US government's gross national debt has surpassed $37 trillion, a record number that highlights the accelerating debt on America's balance sheet and increased cost pressures on taxpayers, the AP reported. The $37 trillion update is found in the latest Treasury Department report issued on Tuesday, which logs the nation's daily finances, according to the AP report.

Experts said that as the debt scale grows larger, future interest payment costs will continue to rise, posing risks to fiscal sustainability, while global investors may grow wary of US Treasury bonds amid credit downgrades and uncertainty.

The $37 trillion debt milestone comes less than eight months after the nation hit the $36 trillion threshold for the first time in late November 2024, and a little over one year after the $35 trillion mark was reached in late July 2024, Fox Business reported.

The $37 trillion debt amounts to about $280,000 per household or $108,000 per person, according to the Peter G. Peterson Foundation.
 
The national debt soaring past $37 trillion sends yet another clear message about America's unsustainable fiscal path, Chair and CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation Michael Peterson said in a statement on its website.

"Our growing debt slowly damages our economy and the prospects of the next generation. As the government borrows trillion after trillion, it puts upward pressure on interest rates, adding costs for everyone and reducing private sector investment. Within the federal budget, the debt crowds out important priorities and creates a damaging cycle of more borrowing, more interest costs, and even more borrowing," Peterson said.
 
The Government Accountability Office outlines some of the impacts of rising government debt on Americans — including higher borrowing costs for things like mortgages and cars, lower wages from businesses having less money available to invest, and more expensive goods and services, according to the AP.
 
The Joint Economic Committee estimates at the current average daily rate of growth, an increase of another trillion dollars in the debt would be reached in approximately 173 days, according to the AP.

Peterson warned that "As our debt continues to rise, at some point the financial markets will lose confidence in our ability to overcome the politics to solve this problem."
 
To repay maturing debt, the US government has been issuing new debts to repay old ones, leading to the continuous expansion of the overall debt load. As the debt scale grows larger, it means that the future interest payment costs will continue to rise, posing risks to fiscal sustainability, Zhou Mi, a senior research fellow at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, told the Global Times on Wednesday.

If maturing debts cannot be repaid, US debt will become unsustainable, and its credit ratings may be downgraded, creating significant risks for global investors, Zhou added.

The expansion of the US government's debt scale has brought more uncertain risks to investments in US Treasury bonds, making global investors more cautious, Zhou said.

"Factors such as rating agencies' changes in sovereign credit ratings and sharp swings in US tariff policies at the real-economy level have added to this uncertainty," Zhou added.

Yang Changjiang, a professor at Fudan University, told the Global Times on Wednesday that the expanding US government debt has also brought greater uncertainty to the global financial market and the stable operation of the international monetary system.

In May, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating. It is expected that US large-scale fiscal deficits will further increase the burden of government debt and interest payments, and the fiscal situation is likely to deteriorate, Yang said.

Moody's Ratings in May cut the US' sovereign credit rating by one notch to Aa1 from Aaa.

"This one-notch downgrade on our 21-notch rating scale reflects the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels that are significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns," said a release by Moody's Ratings. 

The US fiscal performance is likely to deteriorate relative to its own past and compared with other highly rated sovereigns, according to the credit rating agency.

The downgrade means the US has lost its last triple-A credit rating from a major ratings firm, following cuts by Fitch Ratings in 2023 and S&P Global Ratings in 2011, according to Xinhua.
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Friday, 13 December 2024

Growth expected as ‘stars aligning’ for country

Why Malaysia is Becoming a Semiconductor Powerhouse

Malaysia has become a winner amidst the ongoing chip war between the U.S. and China, and here's why.

This video is based on publicly available data and analysis. It represents the author’s perspective and should not be taken as professional or financial advice.
Bursa Malaysia chairman Tan Sri Abdul Wahid Omar


 KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia is in a “sweet spot” for economic growth and investment, with the “stars aligning” in its favour, according to industry leaders and market analysts.

This optimism stems from the country’s robust macroeconomic fundamentals, improving investment climate and strategic positioning in the global supply chain.

Maybank Investment Bank head of regional equity research Anand Pathmakanthan highlighted Malaysia’s acceleration in gross fixed capital formation, driven by a blend of domestic direct investment (DDI) and foreign direct investment (FDI).

“The good news is it’s not just FDI, it’s also DDI, which is far more important in terms of job creation and tax generation,” he said during his presentation at the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales Economy Insight Conference 2024 yesterday.

Anand said for the last 10 years, local companies have not been investing, which has a lot to do with political instability.

“They’ve been investing less and less in Malaysia, which is always a bad sign for any country,” he said.

But in the last two years, he said Malaysia is seeing a recovery in DDI.

“The recovery in DDI reflects the confidence that domestic businesses are feeling better about the environment. That (DDI) is going to be a key support when issues about trade crop up next year with Trump 2.0,” he said.

Meanwhile, Anand said Budget 2025 is “very well-balanced,” emphasising initiatives to crowd-in private sector investments.

He projected continued economic growth, supported by a civil service pay hike, minimum wage increases and enhanced cash handouts, which would sustain domestic consumption in 2025.

“Malaysia is in a very sweet spot, especially when it comes to attracting supply chain relocation and FDI,” he said.

Anand projected Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) to conclude at 5.2% in 2024 and 4.9% in 2025, outpacing the Asean-6 regional average of 4.8% in 2024 and 4.7% in 2025.

Affin Bank Bhd president and chief executive officer Datuk Wan Razly Abdullah echoed the optimism, projecting GDP growth of 5.2% in 2025, up from the bank’s projection of 5% for this year.

He attributed this to stable oil prices, elevated crude palm oil (CPO) prices and active construction and technology sectors.

“The elevated price of oil and CPO will provide good income streams,” he said, adding that Johor and Klang Valley developments would boost the property sector.

“The stars are aligning for Malaysia thanks to our stable political environment and strong FDI flows.”

Wan Razly also expressed bullishness on the ringgit, predicting it to strengthen to RM4.10 against the US dollar by end-2025, supported by the US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Adding to the optimism for Malaysia’s economic prospects, Bursa Malaysia chairman Tan Sri Abdul Wahid Omar highlighted the robust performance of the local bourse, driven by a favourable investment environment and strong macroeconomic fundamentals.

“Malaysia has been a vibrant market for initial public offerings (IPOs) this year. Up to the end of November, we had 47 listings that raised a total of US$1.5bil. By year-end, we expect to close with 54 or 55 listings,” he said.

He noted that the average daily trading value for 2024 has increased by over 50% year-to-date, reaching approximately RM3.1bil.

Abdul Wahid believes this momentum will be sustained into 2025, with 19 IPO approvals in hand for next year.

“Looking at the pipeline, I think 2025 should be another good year,” he said.

He said “the overall good macroeconomics are being translated into the real world and capital markets,” coupled with a shorter processing time for IPO listings of just three months.

Separately, Abdul Wahid said Malaysia should further tap into the Asean market and leverage its strategic advantages, as the regional bloc is well-positioned amidst global uncertainties, particularly ahead of the United States’ tariff threats on China.

Abdul Wahid urged Malaysia to continue to pursue its relationship with Asean in a pragmatic and constructive manner to further capitalise on the bloc’s 670 million consumers.

“The biggest potential that we have is in Asean. Our trade and investments (in the bloc) is relatively low compared to other trade partners and that can be enhanced further,” he said.

Abdul Wahid also emphasised that Malaysia should not be mutually exclusive to any specific trade groupings, trade talks or bilateral agreements and should focus on further strengthening trade relationships.

In the realm of inflation, both Anand and Wan Razly anticipate a rise to 3% in 2025, up from the current 1.9%, mainly due to the targeted petrol subsidy scheduled to take effect mid next year.

Despite the projected uptick, both of them said Malaysia’s inflation rate will stay within a healthy range, underpinned by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and effective policy measures.

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